Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.010375 0.012537 0.015246 0.018975 0.024110 0.031158 0.042006
2024-10-27 0.008079 0.010654 0.014338 0.020292 0.030356 0.048279 0.087690
2024-11-03 0.006959 0.009730 0.014073 0.021993 0.037839 0.073854 0.192968
2024-11-10 0.006235 0.009122 0.013989 0.023815 0.046761 0.113967 0.495704
2024-11-17 0.005470 0.008245 0.013161 0.023826 0.051826 0.153631 1.227713
2024-11-24 0.004843 0.007469 0.012300 0.023404 0.055589 0.198969 3.681345
2024-12-01 0.004214 0.006583 0.011036 0.021624 0.054211 0.220252 9.407720
2024-12-08 0.003767 0.005960 0.010175 0.020547 0.054562 0.256443 56.097585
2024-12-15 0.003479 0.005591 0.009760 0.020465 0.058568 0.339102 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003287 0.005374 0.009617 0.021063 0.066016 0.510156 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003085 0.005112 0.009331 0.021171 0.071697 0.736544 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002836 0.004730 0.008720 0.020140 0.071016 0.861436 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002634 0.004446 0.008347 0.019940 0.076085 1.335752 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002535 0.004365 0.008442 0.021340 0.093740 3.959043 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002462 0.004323 0.008624 0.023166 0.119971 31.663862 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002394 0.004284 0.008804 0.025128 0.155834 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002261 0.004085 0.008526 0.025140 0.173030 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002127 0.003870 0.008170 0.024685 0.184384 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001960 0.003567 0.007533 0.022769 0.170324 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001832 0.003342 0.007088 0.021612 0.166681 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001748 0.003211 0.006887 0.021524 0.181237 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001692 0.003138 0.006842 0.022166 0.213779 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001626 0.003037 0.006698 0.022283 0.238839 NaN NaN